Women's Champions League | Final

Jun 3, 2023 at 3pm UK

Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Guijarro (48', 50'), Rolfo (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pajor (3'), Popp (37')

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona Women come from two goals down against Wolfsburg Women to win the Women's Champions League in Eindhoven.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Wolfsburg Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Wolfsburg Women

Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-3 Wolfsburg
Monday, May 1 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona Women	Draw	Wolfsburg Women
65.99% ( 6.77)	18.07% ( -1.09)	15.94% ( -5.68)

Both teams to score 61% (

-7.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.22% (

-4.36)

31.78% (

4.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.69% (

-5.28)

53.3% (

5.28)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98% (

0.3)

9.01% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29% (

0.73)

30.7% (

-0.74)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

-8.15)

32.95% (

8.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

-10.15)

69.53% (

10.14)

Score Analysis

Barcelona Women 65.99%

Wolfsburg Women 15.94%

Draw 18.07%

Barcelona Women	Draw	Wolfsburg Women
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 2.09) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.66) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 1.75) 4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.75) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 1.1) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.41) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.55) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.18) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.43) Other @ 4.18% Total : 65.99%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -1.03) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.66) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.75) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.07%	1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.93) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.98) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.85) Other @ 2.81% Total : 15.94%