Women's Champions League | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Sep 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

AOK Stadion

Wolfsburg
5 - 0
Fiorentina

(Wolfsburg Women win 12-0 on aggregate)

Kalma (3'), Endemann (33', 49'), Brand (77'), Wassmuth (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Toniolo (45'), Pastrenge (87')
Pastrenge (90+3')

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Wolfsburg Women and Fiorentina Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg Women

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-7 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, September 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League

Fiorentina Women

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-7 Wolfsburg
Wednesday, September 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg Women win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fiorentina Women had a probability of 14.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Fiorentina Women win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg Women would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Fiorentina Women
68.93% ( -0.33)	17.01% ( 0.15)	14.05% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 60.12% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.29% (

-0.32)

30.71% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.96% (

-0.38)

52.04% (

0.38)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.9% (

-0.14)

8.1% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.55% (

-0.37)

28.45% (

0.38)

Fiorentina Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

0.02)

34.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

0.02)

71.3% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg Women 68.93%

Fiorentina Women 14.05%

Draw 17.01%

Wolfsburg Women	Draw	Fiorentina Women
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 68.93%	1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.01%	1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 14.05%