Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Tre Fontane

Roma
0 - 3
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-3)
Dumornay (36', 42'), Gilles (52')
Egurrola (55'), Svava (60'), Gilles (90+1')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Roma Women and Lyon Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma Women

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Last Game: Galatasaray 1-6 Roma
Thursday, October 17 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lyon Women

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Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-2 Lyon
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 47%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Roma WomenDrawLyon Women
30.21% (-5.206 -5.21)22.79% (-0.448 -0.45)47% (5.655 5.65)
Both teams to score 63.57% (-0.527 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87% (0.20500000000001 0.21)37.13% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67% (0.221 0.22)59.33% (-0.219 -0.22)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (-2.813 -2.81)24.12% (2.816 2.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (-4.173 -4.17)58.43% (4.175 4.18)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (2.327 2.33)16.21% (-2.326 -2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (4.071 4.07)45.71% (-4.069 -4.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 30.21%
    Lyon Women 47%
    Draw 22.78%
Roma WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.762 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.546 -0.55)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-0.766 -0.77)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.69 -0.69)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.559 -0.56)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.373 -0.37)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.233 -0.23)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.21%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.531 0.53)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.459 0.46)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.863 0.86)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.709 0.71)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.774 0.77)
1-4 @ 2.54% (0.486 0.49)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.218 0.22)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.458 0.46)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Roma vs Lyon

Roma Women
47.4%
Draw
21.1%
Lyon Women
31.6%
19