Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.