Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
4 - 1
Roma

Diani (77', 79'), Le Sommer (89'), Renard (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Roma Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

Last Game: Roma 0-3 Lyon
Wednesday, November 13 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Roma Women

Last Game: Roma 0-3 Lyon
Wednesday, November 13 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Roma Women had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Roma Women win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Lyon Women	Draw	Roma Women
50.3% ( -1.35)	22.09% ( 0.34)	27.61% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 64.21% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.52% (

-0.82)

35.48% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.48% (

-0.91)

57.52% (

0.92)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.55% (

-0.72)

14.45% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.6% (

-1.42)

42.4% (

1.43)

Roma Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

0.26)

24.95% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

0.35)

59.58% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Lyon Women 50.3%

Roma Women 27.61%

Draw 22.09%

Lyon Women	Draw	Roma Women
2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.61%