Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 4
Barcelona

Kaptein (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Bonmati (25'), Pajor (41'), Pina (43'), Paralluelo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 23 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

Barcelona Women

All competitions
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Chelsea
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Arsenal542.84Russo
2Chelsea532.79Beever-Jones
3Man City412.16Shaw
4Man Utd361.89Terland
5Brighton271.42Kirby
6West Ham251.32Asseyi
7Spurs231.21England
8Aston Villa211.11Daly
9Liverpool201.05Smith
10Everton191.00Gago
11Crystal Palace150.79Blanchard
12Leicester150.79Cayman

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
31.63% (2.17 2.17)21.38% (-0.267 -0.27)46.99% (-1.893 -1.89)
Both teams to score 69.84% (2.448 2.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.7% (2.631 2.63)29.3% (-2.622 -2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.66% (3.138 3.14)50.34% (-3.128 -3.13)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (2.504 2.5)19.48% (-2.493 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (3.934 3.93)51.34% (-3.925 -3.93)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (0.36399999999999 0.36)13.27% (-0.355 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.93% (0.721 0.72)40.07% (-0.71 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 31.63%
    Barcelona Women 46.99%
    Draw 21.38%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.133 0.13)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.266 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.247 0.25)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.63%
1-1 @ 8.54% (-0.503 -0.5)
2-2 @ 7.05% (0.225 0.23)
3-3 @ 2.59% (0.298 0.3)
0-0 @ 2.58% (-0.409 -0.41)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.746 -0.75)
2-3 @ 4.75% (0.212 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 2.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.4% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-4 @ 1.31% (0.166 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
31.3%
Draw
12.5%
Barcelona Women
56.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2025 5pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
4-1
Chelsea
Pajor (35'), Pina (70', 90'), Paredes (82')
Pina (77')
Baltimore (74')
Ramirez (41'), Macario (72')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Chelsea
0-2
Barcelona

Buchanan (54'), Charles (87')
Buchanan (59')
Bonmati (25'), Rolfo (75' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
0-1
Chelsea

Guijarro (79'), Paredes (83')
Cuthbert (40')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2023 5.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Barcelona
1-1
Chelsea Women
Graham Hansen (63')
Reiten (67')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 12.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Chelsea Women
0-1
Barcelona
Graham Hansen (4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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