Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.