Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
| 27.8% | 24.88% | 47.31% |
| Both teams to score 54.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% | 48.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.33% |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% | 31.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% | 67.74% |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% | 20.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% | 52.84% |
| Score Analysis |
Lugano 27.8%
Basel 47.31%
Draw 24.87%
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.31% |


