UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Serbia
2 - 0
Austria

(Serbia win 3-1 on aggregate)

Maksimovic (56'), Vlahovic (90')
Maksimovic (17'), Mitrovic (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schlager (68'), Wimmer (90+5')
Trauner (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Serbia and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

Last Game: Austria 1-1 Serbia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	9	16
2	Denmark	6	2	8
3	Serbia	6	-3	6
4	Switzerland	6	-8	2

Austria

All competitions

Last Game: Austria 1-1 Serbia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Austria
29.55% ( -0.2)	27.38% ( 0.1)	43.07% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8% (

-0.45)

57.21% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.94% (

-0.36)

78.06% (

0.37)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

-0.39)

34.79% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

-0.42)

71.52% (

0.42)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69% (

-0.16)

26.31% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56% (

-0.21)

61.44% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Serbia 29.55%

Austria 43.07%

Draw 27.38%

Serbia	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.55%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.07%