UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Nov 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Astana Arena

Kazakhstan
0 - 2
Austria

Vorogovskiy (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Baumgartner (15'), Gregoritsch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Austria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Austria 5-1 Norway
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.39%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Austria
11.69% ( -2.08)	21.06% ( -1.04)	67.24% ( 3.12)

Both teams to score 39.46% (

-2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.66% (

-0.33)

54.33% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

-0.27)

75.72% (

0.27)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.61% (

-3.66)

53.38% (

3.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.1% (

-2.42)

86.89% (

2.42)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.65% (

0.91)

15.35% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.88% (

1.69)

44.11% (

-1.7)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 11.69%

Austria 67.23%

Draw 21.06%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.36) Other @ 1.91% Total : 11.69%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.06%	0-1 @ 15.35% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 14.39% ( 1.06) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 8.99% ( 0.92) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( 0.55) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.25) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 67.23%