Nations League
Nov 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Astana Arena
  • Aleksandr Marochkin 23' redcard
  • Yan Vorogovskiy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Christoph Baumgartner 15'
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 25'

Kazakhstan vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 2.00pm
Kazakhstan 0 - 1 Slovenia

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 7.45pm
Austria 5 - 1 Norway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.39%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Austria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austria.

Result

Kazakhstan 11.69% (-2.09)
Draw 21.06% (-1.05)
Austria 67.24% (+3.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.46% (-2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.66% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 54.33% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 24.28% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 75.72% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 10.9% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 89.09% (+0.18)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 46.61% (-3.66)
Under 0.5 53.38% (+3.66)
Over 1.5 13.1% (-2.43)
Under 1.5 86.89% (+2.43)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 84.65% (+0.92)
Under 0.5 15.35% (-0.92)
Over 1.5 55.88% (+1.70)
Under 1.5 44.11% (-1.70)

Score analysis

Kazakhstan 11.69%
Draw 21.06%
Austria 67.23%
Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.51)
2-1 @ 3.02% (-0.57)
2-0 @ 1.61% (-0.36)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 11.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.63)
0-0 @ 8.19% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 2.83% (-0.43)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.06%
Austria
0-1 @ 15.35% (+0.67)
0-2 @ 14.39% (+1.07)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.29)
0-3 @ 8.99% (+0.92)
1-3 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.21% (+0.55)
1-4 @ 2.64% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.20)
0-5 @ 1.58% (+0.25)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 67.23%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Raiffeisen Arena
  • Christoph Baumgartner 10' goal
  • Alexander Prass 15' yellowcard
  • Philipp Lienhart 54' goal
  • Marcel Sabitzer 56' goal
  • Matthias Seidl 79' goal
  • yellowcard Nuraly Alip 61'
  • yellowcard Sultan Astanov 65'
  • yellowcard Sultan Astanov 89'