UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
1 - 1
Austria

Sesko (16' pen.)
Gnezda Cerin (54'), Janza (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Laimer (28')
Sabitzer (35'), Laimer (35'), Prass (45'), Mwene (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Last Game: Portugal 0-0 Slovenia (3-0 pen.)
Monday, July 1 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Austria

All competitions

Last Game: Austria 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, July 2 at 8pm in European Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	3	2	6
2	France	3	1	5
3	Netherlands	3	0	4
4	Poland	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Slovenia win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Austria
24.02% ( 0.21)	26.26% ( 0.12)	49.72% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.71% (

-0.28)

56.29% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.68% (

-0.23)

77.32% (

0.23)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07% (

0.03)

38.93% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.35% (

0.03)

75.65% (

-0.03)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0.26)

22.7% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.64% (

-0.39)

56.36% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 24.02%

Austria 49.72%

Draw 26.26%

Slovenia	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.02%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.72%