UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Slovenia
3 - 0
Kazakhstan

Sesko (23', 28', 63')
Mlakar (20'), Celar (37')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Maliy (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	3	1	5
2	Denmark	3	0	3
3	Slovenia	3	0	3
4	Serbia	3	-1	2

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Kazakhstan
47.78% ( 0.04)	26.15% ( -0.02)	26.07% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.36% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58% (

0.07)

54.42% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21% (

0.05)

75.79% (

-0.06)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.04)

22.78% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52% (

0.07)

56.48% (

-0.07)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.92% (

0.02)

36.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14% (

0.02)

72.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Slovenia 47.77%

Kazakhstan 26.07%

Draw 26.14%

Slovenia	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 26.07%