Nations League
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Stozice
  • Jan Mlakar 20' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 23' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 28' goal
  • Zan Celar 37' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 63' goal
  • yellowcard Serhiy Maliy 35'

Slovenia vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
Slovenia 1 - 1 Austria

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 3.00pm
Kazakhstan 0 - 0 Norway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 47.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result

Slovenia 47.78% (+0.04)
Draw 26.15% (-0.02)
Kazakhstan 26.07% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.36% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.58% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 54.42% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 24.21% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.79% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 10.86% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.14% (-0.04)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5 77.22% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.78% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 43.52% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 56.48% (-0.07)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 63.92% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.08% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.14% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 72.86% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Slovenia 47.77%
Draw 26.14%
Kazakhstan 26.07%
Slovenia
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 47.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.14%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Stozice
  • Benjamin Sesko 41' goal
  • Benjamin Verbic 86' goal
  • Benjamin Verbic 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yan Vorogovskiy 40'
  • goal Ramazan Orazov 48'
  • yellowcard Islambek Kuat 61'
  • yellowcard Serhiy Maliy 79'
  • yellowcard Nuraly Alip 90'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Maksim Samorodov 23' goal
  • goal David Brekalo 47'
  • goal Zan Vipotnik 78'