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UEFA Nations League

Kazakhstan national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Norway national football team

Kazakhstan
0 - 0
Norway


Zainutdinov (38'), Kassym (42'), Abiken (72'), Chesnokov (75')
FT

Donnum (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Norway

All competitions
Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Norway
Saturday, June 8 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A StandingsPGDPTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
KazakhstanDrawNorway
31.06% (0.162 0.16)26.61% (0.055 0.05)42.33% (-0.215 -0.21)
Both teams to score 51.04% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (-0.165 -0.16)53.71% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (-0.138 -0.14)75.2% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.031999999999996 0.03)31.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.035 0.04)68.3% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)25.1% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (-0.256 -0.26)59.8% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 31.06%
    Norway 42.33%
    Draw 26.61%
KazakhstanDrawNorway
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.06%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.33%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Norway

Kazakhstan
12.7%
Draw
10.8%
Norway
76.4%
157