UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
2 - 1
Austria

Myhre (9'), Haaland (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sabitzer (37')
Mwene (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Norway and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Austria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Austria
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Austria	3	2	6
2	France	3	1	5
3	Netherlands	3	0	4
4	Poland	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Austria
45.9% ( -0.53)	25.78% ( 0.04)	28.32% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 52.14% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

0.13)

51.6% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

0.11)

73.39% (

-0.1)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

-0.19)

22.45% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.01% (

-0.29)

55.99% (

0.29)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

0.45)

32.76% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

0.5)

69.32% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Norway 45.89%

Austria 28.32%

Draw 25.78%

Norway	Draw	Austria
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.89%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 28.32%