Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.