Nations League
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Felix Myhre 9' goal
  • Erling Haaland 80' goal
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 24'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 37'

Norway vs Austria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 3.00pm
Kazakhstan 0 - 0 Norway

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
Slovenia 1 - 1 Austria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Austria had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Austria win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result

Norway 45.9% (-0.54)
Draw 25.78% (+0.05)
Austria 28.32% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.14% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.4% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 51.6% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 26.61% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.39% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 12.39% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 87.61% (-0.07)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 77.55% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 22.45% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 44.01% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 55.99% (+0.30)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5 67.24% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 32.76% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 30.68% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 69.32% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Norway 45.89%
Draw 25.78%
Austria 28.32%
Norway
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 45.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.78%
Austria
0-1 @ 8.21% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.84% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.58% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.55% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 28.32%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ernst-Happel-Stadion
  • Stefan Ilsanker 17' yellowcard
  • Adrian Grbic 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Mats Daehli 49'
  • goal Ghayas Zahid 61'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Fredrik Granli 88'
Nations League
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ullevaal Stadion
  • Mathias Normann 51' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 66' goal
  • Martin Linnes 76' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 78' yellowcard
  • Erling Braut Haaland 86' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Gregoritsch 35'
  • goal Marcel Sabitzer 54'
  • yellowcard Stefan Lainer 67'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Dragovic 87'