UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Raiffeisen Arena

Austria
5 - 1
Norway

Arnautovic (8', 49' pen.), Lienhart (58'), Posch (62'), Gregoritsch (71')
Posch (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sorloth (39')
Berge (28'), Hanche-Olsen (47'), Myhre (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Austria and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Norway

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Norway had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norway win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
Austria	Draw	Norway
45.51% ( -0.03)	24.02% ( 0.03)	30.47% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.28% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15% (

-0.12)

42.84% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75% (

-0.12)

65.25% (

0.13)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

-0.06)

19.02% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.41% (

-0.1)

50.59% (

0.1)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

-0.06)

26.79% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-0.08)

62.07% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Austria 45.51%

Norway 30.47%

Draw 24.01%

Austria	Draw	Norway
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.47%