/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fauslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fnorlog.png)
-
Marko Arnautovic
8'
-
Stefan Posch
45'+2'
-
Marko Arnautovic
49'
-
Philipp Lienhart
58'
-
Stefan Posch
62'
-
Michael Gregoritsch
71'
-
Sander Berge
28'
-
Alexander Sorloth
39'
-
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
47'
-
Felix Myhre
88'
Austria vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Norway had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norway win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
Result
Austria
45.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
24.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Norway
30.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
59.28%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.15%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
42.84%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
34.75%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
65.25%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 4.5
18.08%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
81.92%
▲
(+0.10)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
80.97%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
19.02%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
49.41%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
50.59%
▲
(+0.11)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5
73.21%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
26.79%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
37.92%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
62.07%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Austria
45.51%
Draw
24.01%
Norway
30.47%
Austria
2-1
@
9.24%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.51%
1-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.13%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.01%
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.01%
Norway
1-2
@
7.34%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.47%
0-1 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.47%