UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Ullevaal Stadion

Norway
3 - 0
Slovenia

Haaland (7', 62'), Sorloth (52')
Berg (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stojanovic (63')

Reaction

Norway's Erling Haaland reacts on October 10, 2024

Erling Haaland smashes 90-year goalscoring record with brace in Norway win

Erling Haaland becomes the highest scorer in the history of the Norway men's national team with a brace in their 3-0 UEFA Nations League win over Slovenia.

Oct 10, 22:25

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Norway and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Kazakhstan
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Norway	Draw	Slovenia
61.29% ( 0.43)	23.19% ( 0.05)	15.52% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04% (

-0.93)

54.96% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

-0.77)

76.23% (

0.78)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42% (

-0.18)

17.58% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.86% (

-0.32)

48.14% (

0.32)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

-1.22)

47.74% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96% (

-0.92)

83.04% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Norway 61.29%

Slovenia 15.52%

Draw 23.18%

Norway	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 61.29%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.54% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.52%