Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.