Nations League
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-
Christoph Baumgartner
10'
-
Alexander Prass
15'
-
Philipp Lienhart
54'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
56'
-
Matthias Seidl
79'
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Nuraly Alip
61'
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Sultan Astanov
65'
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Sultan Astanov
89'
Austria vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
Result
Austria
61.71%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
22.08%
▼
(-0.09)
Kazakhstan
16.21%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
47.59%
▲
(+0.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.36%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 2.5
49.64%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
28.34%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
71.66%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 4.5
13.54%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 4.5
86.46%
▼
(-0.23)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5
84.42%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
15.58%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
55.45%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
44.54%
▼
(-0.28)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5
56.37%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
43.63%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
20.18%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
79.82%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Austria
61.69%
Draw
22.08%
Kazakhstan
16.21%
Austria
1-0
@
12.63%
▼
(-0.13)
2-0 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 61.69%
2-0 @ 11.74% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.28%
3-1 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 61.69%
Draw
1-1
@
10.48%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.08%
0-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.08%
Kazakhstan
0-1
@
5.64%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 16.21%
1-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 16.21%