UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK

Astana Arena

Kazakhstan
0 - 1
Slovenia

Chesnokov (9'), Bystrov (30'), Islamkhan (61'), Alip (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mlakar (55')
Ilicic (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 28.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovenia in this match.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Slovenia
28.21% ( -0.01)	28.29% ( 0.01)	43.49% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.09% (

-0.02)

60.91% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.07% (

-0.01)

80.92% (

0.02)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15% (

-0.01)

37.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.38% (

-0.01)

74.62% (

0.01)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0.01)

27.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58% (

-0.01)

63.41% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 28.21%

Slovenia 43.49%

Draw 28.28%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 28.21%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.49%