MX23RW : Tuesday, November 28 16:10:15| >> :600:342715:342715:
[monks data]
Slovenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Kazakhstan national football team
2 - 1
Sesko (41' pen.), Verbic (86')
Verbic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Orazov (48')
Vorogovskiy (40'), Kuat (61'), Maliy (79'), Alip (90')

Preview: Slovenia vs. Kazakhstan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Slovenia and Kazakhstan meet in a huge, winner-takes-all encounter in Euro 2024 qualifying on Monday.

A win for the visitors on Friday paired with Slovenia's defeat in Denmark means a Kazakh victory here will send them through, while any other result will be enough for the hosts.

Match preview

Slovenia's Benjamin Sesko celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 14, 2023© Reuters

Regardless of the result here, we will have an unfamiliar name among the finalists at Euro 2024 next summer.

Slovenia have only reached the European Championships once since independence from Yugoslavia - at Euro 2000 - and have not qualified for a major tournament in 13 years.

Meanwhile, Kazakhstan will have their sights set on a first-ever major tournament since their breakup of the Soviet Union.

Even as an Asian participant, Kazakhstan failed to reach both the 1998 and 2002 World Cups, as well as the 1996 and 2000 Asian Cups, and they have never before threatened the qualifying spots since joining UEFA.

They come into matchday 10 still in contention with their fate still in their own hands too, after Slovenia were beaten in Denmark on Friday.

That was just Slovenia's second defeat in 15 competitive games, but they still have work to do to progress in this group, despite picking up 19 points from their nine qualifiers so far.

Entering the fixture in the top two, with a one-point advantage over Kazakhstan, means Matjaz Kek's side are still heavy favourites to progress though.

In a group where near-perfection has been required, they are paying the price for costly defeats in Finland and Denmark.

When they beat Kazakhstan 2-1 on matchday one, the Slovenians probably had no idea how crucial that win may have been come November, but it could end up being the win that proves decisive.

Kazakhstan's Bakhtiyor Zaynutdinov celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 17, 2023© Reuters

Magomed Adiyev's side will be out to avenge that defeat though, and in doing so, creating Kazakh footballing history, by reaching a first-ever major finals as an independent nation.

A win over San Marino on Friday means the most eastern nation participating in the qualifiers have won six of their eight fixtures since losing to Slovenia back in March.

Recording wins both home and away against Northern Ireland, as well as a shock, come-from-behind successes against Nordic duo Denmark and Finland have been vital.

Kazakhstan's form from the Nations League last year suggests this is no fluke either, as they won their group containing Slovakia, Azerbaijan and Belarus.

That has guaranteed them a playoff spot for the Euros even if they fail to win here, as well as a place in League B of the next Nations League in a year's time.

Slovenia Euro Champ Qualifying form:

Kazakhstan Euro Champ Qualifying form:

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Team News

Slovenia coach Matjaz Kek before the match on October 17, 2023© Reuters

Domen Crnigoj and David Brekalo are the only notable absentees from the Slovenia squad gathered together by Kek this month.

Miha Zajc and Sandi Lovric are among two of the most high-profile players in the squad, but they have been struggling for game time with the national side of late.

RB Leipzig's Benjamin Sesko is the talisman of the side, and he will likely need to be on form if Slovenia are to seal their place at Euro 2024 here.

Kazakhstan are significantly weakened in midfield by the absences of Besiktas' Bakhtiyar Zaynutdinov and captain Askhat Tagybergen.

Fellow regular Bauyrzhan Islamkhan is also on the sidelines, alongside defender Mikhail Gabyshev, who are not in the squad.

Zenit St Petersburg centre-back Nuraly Alip was left out of the side that beat San Marino but should return to the side for this one.

Slovenia possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Karnicnik, Blazic, Bijol, Janza; Verbic, Gnezda Cerin, Elsnik, Mlakar; Vipotnik, Sesko

Kazakhstan possible starting lineup:
Shatskiy; Kairov, Bystrov, Marochkin, Alip, Vorogovskiy; Beysebekov, Zuev, Chesnokov; Aymbetov, Samorodov

SM words green background

We say: Slovenia 3-1 Kazakhstan

Despite a potentially tense affair being on the cards for hosts Slovenia, knowing they only need to avoid defeat may settle the side down slightly after defeat on Friday.

Having come so close, Kazakhstan will be devastated if they are to fall at the final hurdle, but against a side who beat them at home earlier in the campaign, it may be just too much to ask for the dark horses in Group H.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data

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Group A

Q Spain Spain870121
Q Scotland flag Scotland852117
3 Norway Norway832311
4 Georgia Georgia82248
5 Cyprus Cyprus80080

Group B

Q France France871022
Q Netherlands Netherlands860218
3 Greece Greece841313
4 Ireland Rep. Ireland82066
5 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar80080

Group C

Q England flag England862020
Q Italy Italy842214
3 Ukraine Ukraine842214
4 Macedonia N. Macedonia82248
5 Malta flag Malta80080

Group D

Q Turkey Turkey852117
Q Croatia Croatia851216
3 Wales flag Wales833212
4 Armenia Armenia82248
5 Latvia Latvia81073

Group E

Q Albania national flag Albania843115
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic843115
3 Poland Poland832311
4 Republic of Moldova Moldova824210
5 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands80262

Group F

Q Belgium Belgium862020
Q Austria Austria861119
3 Sweden Sweden831410
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan82157
5 Estonia Estonia80171

Group G

Q Hungary Hungary853018
Q Serbia Serbia842214
3 Montenegro Montenegro832311
4 Lithuania Lithuania81346
5 Bulgaria Bulgaria80444

Group H

Q Denmark Denmark1071222
Q Slovenia Slovenia1071222
3 Finland Finland1060418
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan1060418
5 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland103079
6 San Marino flag San Marino1000100

Group I

Q Romania Romania1064022
Q Switzerland Switzerland1045117
3 Israel Israel1043315
4 Belarus Belarus1033412
5 Kosovo flag Kosovo1025311
6 Andorra flag Andorra100282

Group J

Q Portugal Portugal10100030
Q Slovakia Slovakia1071222
3 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg1052317
4 Iceland Iceland1031610
5 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina103079
6 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein1000100

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