UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Austria
1 - 1
Serbia

(Serbia win 3-1 on aggregate)

Gregoritsch (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Samardzic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Austria and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions

Last Game: Austria 1-1 Slovenia
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Austria	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Serbia

All competitions

Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Denmark
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	9	16
2	Denmark	6	2	8
3	Serbia	6	-3	6
4	Switzerland	6	-8	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 13.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Austria	Draw	Serbia
65.16% ( 1.33)	20.98% ( -0.5)	13.86% ( -0.83)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Austria	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 65.15%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.86%