Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 42.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
