Segunda Division Gameweek 18
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Valcarce 17' goal
  • Alvaro Rodriguez 25' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Garcia 61' goal
  • Pablo Valcarce 67' goal

Burgos vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 21, 2021 1.00pm
Cartagena 1 - 0 Burgos
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pablo Valcarce

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 20, 2021 5.15pm
Malaga 2 - 1 Las Palmas
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Brandon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 42.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 27.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result

Burgos 42.14%
Draw 30.19%
Malaga 27.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.88%

Goals

Over 2.5 33.07%
Under 2.5 66.93%
Over 3.5 14.78%
Under 3.5 85.22%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 68.43%
Under 0.5 31.57%
Over 1.5 32.03%
Under 1.5 67.97%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 58.28%
Under 0.5 41.72%
Over 1.5 21.81%
Under 1.5 78.19%

Score analysis

Burgos 42.13%
Draw 30.19%
Malaga 27.67%
Burgos
1-0 @ 15.18%
2-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 7.65%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 13.17%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.19%
Malaga
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.67%