Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 41.22% ( | 25.12% ( | 33.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( | 46.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( | 68.94% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( | 22.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( | 26.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( | 61.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.66% |