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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Johnstone
0 - 2
Kilmarnock


Ikpeazu (26'), Watt (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watson (12'), Armstrong (53' pen.)
Armstrong (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Ross County
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
41.22% (3.821 3.82)25.12% (-0.147 -0.15)33.66% (-3.675 -3.68)
Both teams to score 56.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (0.221 0.22)46.67% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (0.207 0.21)68.94% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (2.065 2.07)22.55% (-2.064 -2.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (2.98 2.98)56.14% (-2.982 -2.98)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-2.006 -2.01)26.66% (2.006 2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-2.729 -2.73)61.9% (2.73 2.73)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 41.22%
    Kilmarnock 33.66%
    Draw 25.11%
St JohnstoneDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.448 0.45)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.466 0.47)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.705 0.71)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.475 0.48)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.524 0.52)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.262 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.256 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.549 -0.55)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.696 -0.7)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.444 -0.44)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

St Johnstone
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Kilmarnock
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 26
Kilmarnock
3-1
St Johnstone
Polworth (9'), Murray (56'), Wales (60')
Mayo (49')
Carey (90+1')
Wright (41')
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
St Johnstone
1-0
Kilmarnock
Kirk (53')
Holt (26'), Raymond (90+3')

Deas (17'), Donnelly (47')
Donnelly (84')
Aug 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Kilmarnock
0-3
St Johnstone

J (2'), Deas (47'), Armstrong (75'), Kennedy (83')
Wright (16')
Sidibeh (3', 33'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (81' pen.)
Smith (29'), MacPherson (55'), Neilson (69'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (82')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
St Johnstone
0-2
Kilmarnock
Wright (23'), Watkins (81')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Kilmarnock
2-1
St Johnstone
Watson (6'), Watkins (17')
Clark (61')
Mitov (64')
rhs 2.0


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