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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Ross County

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Ross County

Anderson (36'), Donnelly (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Efete (57'), Campbell (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Ross County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-2 Ross County
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
59.65% (0.263 0.26)22.17% (-0.118 -0.12)18.19% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.24% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.28 0.28)46.79% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.261 0.26)69.05% (-0.258 -0.26)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.182 0.18)15.29% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (0.34 0.34)44.01% (-0.337 -0.34)
Ross County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 59.64%
    Ross County 18.19%
    Draw 22.16%
KilmarnockDrawRoss County
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.67% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.91% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 59.64%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.16%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.19%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ross County

Kilmarnock
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Ross County
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 3pm
Jan 5, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 22
Kilmarnock
0-1
Ross County

Ndaba (31')
Harmon (86')
Brown (45+1'), Loturi (90+2')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Ross County
2-1
Kilmarnock
White (61'), Wright (82' og.)
Randall (72')
Ndaba (39')
Donnelly (53'), Lyons (63'), Wright (90+6')
Donnelly (60')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
1-0
Ross County
Vassell (64')
Donnelly (28'), Vassell (86'), Leak (87'), Mayo (87')

Ayina (38'), King (68'), Dhanda (86'), Polworth (86')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm