Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.