Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33

Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

Hatate (9', 24'), Maeda (11'), Carter-Vickers (21'), Ralston (90+3')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Armstrong (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Celtic
Sunday, April 6 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.33%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 2.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.18%) and 2-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Kilmarnock
90.33% ( 0.07)	7.02% ( -0.04)	2.64% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 39.22% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.02% (

23.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.43% (

43.57% (

-0)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.88% (

0.01)

3.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.09% (

0.04)

13.91% (

-0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.48% (

-0.19)

59.52% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.59% (

-0.1)

90.4% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Celtic 90.32%

Kilmarnock 2.64%

Draw 7.02%

Celtic	Draw	Kilmarnock
3-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 7-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 8-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 90.32%	1-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.85% 2-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 7.02%	0-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 2.64%