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Scottish Premiership

St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

Boyd-Munce (6', 58'), Idowu (9' pen.), O'Hara (65'), John (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Anderson (88' pen.)
Wright (64'), Anderson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
43.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.2% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)30.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27%67.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 43.1%
    Kilmarnock 30.68%
    Draw 26.2%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.68%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Kilmarnock
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-0
St Mirren
Anderson (8', 65' pen.)

Taylor (21'), Gogic (49')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
St Mirren
2-2
Kilmarnock
Olusanya (7'), O'Hara (41' pen.)
Mandron (16'), Taylor (47')
Watkins (11'), Ayunga (71' og.)
Ndaba (21'), Polworth (65'), Watson (90+1')
Wright (45+5')
> Preview
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock
Vassell (37')
Armstrong (70'), Dennis (85')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
5-2
St Mirren
Vassell (61', 73'), Armstrong (65' pen.), Watkins (68'), Watson (79')
Donnelly (63'), Kennedy (75'), Watson (86')
Dunne (20'), Mandron (39')
O'Hara (59')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Taylor (33'), Gogic (59'), Baccus (88')
Watkins (25')
Findlay (74'), Deas (86')
> Preview