Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28

Feb 26, 2025 at 8pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 4
Rangers

Wright (11'), Lyons (14')
Magennis (18'), Watson (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cerny (35'), Dessers (53', 62'), Bajrami (85')
Hagi (18'), Dessers (63'), Propper (72'), Lawrence (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Rangers

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Rangers
28.3% ( -0.58)	24.3% ( -0.03)	47.4% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 56.91% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.66% (

-0.21)

45.34% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.32% (

-0.2)

67.68% (

0.2)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

-0.52)

29.53% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45% (

-0.64)

65.55% (

0.64)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

0.17)

19.24% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

0.27)

50.94% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 28.3%

Rangers 47.4%

Draw 24.3%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.3% Total : 28.3%	1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.4%