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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee United

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee Utd

Watkins (72')
Armstrong (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Adegboyega (50'), Ferry (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-3 Rangers
Sunday, January 26 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
43.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.68% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)33.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.69%
    Dundee United 29.49%
    Draw 26.82%
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.49%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock
33.8%
Draw
24.3%
Dundee United
41.9%
74
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Dundee Utd
1-1
Kilmarnock
Dalby (79')
Ferry (55'), Odada (90+1'), Adegboyega (90+10')
Anderson (90+4' pen.)
Wright (78')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Kilmarnock
3-3
Dundee Utd
Watson (47', 58'), Watkins (64')
Armstrong (90+8')
Moult (21'), Sibbald (79'), Graham (90+9' pen.)
Docherty (69'), Moult (83')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Dundee Utd
0-3
Kilmarnock

Mulgrew (64')
Vassell (14', 44'), Cameron (83')
Lyons (26')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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