Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Ante Palaversa 34' yellowcard
  • Sivert Heltne Nilsen 37' yellowcard
  • Oday Dabbagh 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Bobby Wales 18'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 45'
  • yellowcard Fraser Murray 52'

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee 1 - 2 Aberdeen
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Kevin Nisbet

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 St Johnstone
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result

Aberdeen 62.63% (-0.04)
Draw 21.29% (+0.02)
Kilmarnock 16.08% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.74% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.4% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 46.6% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 31.13% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.87% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.46% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.54% (+0.04)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 85.72% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 14.28% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 57.93% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 42.08% (+0.06)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 58.03% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 41.97% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.59% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.41% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Aberdeen 62.62%
Draw 21.29%
Kilmarnock 16.08%
Aberdeen
1-0 @ 11.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 62.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.29%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 18' goal
  • David Watson 59' goal
  • Innes Cameron 87' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 46'
  • yellowcard Ante Palaversa 62'
  • yellowcard Slobodan Rubezic 63'
  • yellowcard J 67'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Habib Gueye 23' goal
  • Habib Gueye 65' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 67' yellowcard
  • Ante Palaversa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Slobodan Rubezic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • redcard Bradley Lyons 54'
Scottish Cup
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Jamie McGrath 11' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 33' goal
  • Jack MacKenzie 46' yellowcard
  • Stuart Findlay 66' goal
  • Jamie McGrath 70' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 90' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Armstrong 41'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 62'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Corrie Ndaba 45'+5' goal
  • Matty Kennedy 58' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neil Warnock 0'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pittodrie Stadium
  • Graeme Shinnie 45' yellowcard
  • Jonny Hayes 65' yellowcard
  • Stefan Gartenmann 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 86'
  • goal David Watson 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 45'+5' goal
  • Marley Watkins 64' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Gartenmann 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ester Sokler 89'