Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.