Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.