Scottish Cup
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Borough Briggs
  • Dajon Golding 26' yellowcard
  • Russell Dingwall 56' yellowcard
  • Owen Cairns 75' yellowcard
  • Lyall-Robert Booth 75' redcard
  • yellowcard Sivert Heltne Nilsen 9'
  • goal Shayden Morris 21'
  • goal Luis Lopes 72'
  • goal Luis Lopes 90'+1'

Elgin City vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions

Aberdeen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result

Elgin City 23.25% (-0.08)
Draw 21.93% (-0.01)
Aberdeen 54.82% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.04% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.08% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 38.92% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 38.76% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 61.24% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 21.15% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 78.85% (+0.05)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5 69.97% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.03% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 33.84% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 66.16% (+0.12)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 85.81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.18% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 58.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 41.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Elgin City 23.25%
Draw 21.92%
Aberdeen 54.82%
Elgin City
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.13%
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 23.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.26% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.92%
Aberdeen
1-2 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.32% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.12% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.36% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.82%