Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Aberdeen
23.25% ( -0.08)	21.93% ( -0.01)	54.82% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 60.04% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

-0.05)

38.92% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.76% (

-0.06)

61.24% (

0.06)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

-0.1)

30.03% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

-0.12)

66.16% (

0.12)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.81% (

0.01)

14.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.11% (

0.02)

41.89% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 23.25%

Aberdeen 54.82%

Draw 21.92%

Elgin City	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 23.25%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.82%