Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 38.08% ( | 25.8% ( | 36.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( | 71.35% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( | 25.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( | 60.13% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( | 61.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.08% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 36.12% |