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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
2 - 2
St Mirren

Slattery (35', 35', 71')
Gordon (61'), Gordon (61'), Halliday (90+6'), Casey (90+10')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Boyd-Munce (23', 23'), Phillips (33', 33')
Fraser (32'), Fraser (32'), Olusanya (61'), Olusanya (61'), Iacovitti (62'), Smyth (80')
Olusanya (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-5 Celtic
Saturday, March 1 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
38.08% (0.216 0.22)25.8% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)36.12% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.91% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (0.25 0.25)49.3% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (0.223 0.22)71.35% (-0.23 -0.23)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.232 0.23)25.34% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.32100000000001 0.32)60.13% (-0.326 -0.33)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)26.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)61.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 38.08%
    St Mirren 36.12%
    Draw 25.79%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.08%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 36.12%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Mirren

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
St Mirren
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Taylor (34'), Gogic (42'), Kiltie (58'), Olusanya (62')
Gogic (90+3')
Watt (90+4')
Blaney (32'), Kettlewell (33'), Seddon (69'), Stamatelopoulos (77')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Motherwell
2-1
St Mirren
Miller (19' pen., 44')
O'Donnell (45+5'), Halliday (48'), Balmer (51'), Watt (90+4')
Casey (47')
Phillips (9')
Fraser (17'), Olusanya (36'), Tanser (43')
Tanser (61')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Motherwell
1-1
St Mirren
Bair (74')
Vale (54')
Fraser (18')
Olusanya (39')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
0-0
Motherwell
Baccus (73')
Spittal (40')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
0-1
St Mirren
Tanser (55')
Fraser (20'), Taylor (43'), Baccus (63'), Strain (65'), Hemming (82')