Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Motherwell
Feb 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
Dundee
  • Dan Casey 12' goal
  • Andy Halliday 37' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 84' goal
  • goal Simon Murray 79'

Motherwell vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Slattery

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Ross County 3 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Simon Murray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result

Motherwell 49.69% ▼ (-0.39)
Draw 23.93% ▲ (+0.17)
Dundee 26.38% ▲ (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.58% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.94% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 2.5 45.06% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 3.5 32.59% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 3.5 67.41% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 4.5 16.5% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 4.5 83.5% ▲ (+0.38)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 81.79% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 18.21% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 1.5 50.77% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 1.5 49.23% ▲ (+0.62)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 69.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 30.82% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 32.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 67.1% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Motherwell 49.69%
Draw 23.93%
Dundee 26.38%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.93%
Dundee
1-2 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.38%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Dundee
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Motherwell
  • Oluwaseun Adewumi 14' goal
  • Billy Koumetio 29' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 60' goal
  • Lyall Cameron 63' goal
  • Lyall Cameron 67' goal
  • Jordan McGhee 79' yellowcard
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 19'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 61'
  • yellowcard Stuart Kettlewell 65'
  • yellowcard Lennon Miller 78'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Motherwell
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Fir Park
Dundee
  • goal Lyall Cameron 38'
  • yellowcard Ryan Astley 71'
  • yellowcard Antonio Portales 78'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Dundee
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Motherwell
  • Jordan McGhee 36' goal
  • Luke McCowan 70' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 74' yellowcard
  • Michael Mellon 82' yellowcard
  • goal Georgie Gent 79'
  • goal Theo Bair 81'
  • goal Moses Ebiye 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Motherwell
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Fir Park
Dundee
  • Mika Biereth 6' goal
  • Calum Butcher 44' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 49' yellowcard
  • Bevis Mugabi 68' goal
  • Harry Paton 72' redcard
  • Conor Wilkinson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Conor Wilkinson 90'+7' goal
  • goal Lyall Cameron 30'
  • goal Owen Beck 34'
  • yellowcard Malachi Boateng 80'
  • goal Zach Robinson 88'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 90'+7'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Dundee
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Motherwell
  • Lyall Cameron 68' goal
  • goal Theo Bair 45'
  • yellowcard Pape Souare 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan McGinley 79'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Motherwell
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Dundee
  • Joe Efford 18' goal
  • goal Paul McMullan 6'
  • yellowcard Vontae Daley-Campbell 53'
  • yellowcard Shaun Byrne 83'

Form Data

Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Motherwell
Motherwell 0 - 3 Ross County
Motherwell 1 - 3 Celtic
St Johnstone 2 - 1 Motherwell
St Johnstone 1 - 0 Motherwell
Hibernian 3 - 1 Motherwell
Ross County 3 - 1 Dundee
Dundee 1 - 2 Aberdeen
Dundee 4 - 0 Airdrieonians
Celtic 6 - 0 Dundee
Dundee 0 - 6 Hearts
Dundee 1 - 0 Dundee Utd