Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28

Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
2 - 1
Dundee

Casey (12', 84')
Halliday (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murray (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 3-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Dundee
49.69% ( -0.39)	23.93% ( 0.16)	26.38% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

-0.54)

45.06% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-0.52)

67.41% (

0.52)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.79% (

-0.36)

18.21% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.77% (

-0.61)

49.23% (

0.61)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

-0.11)

30.82% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

-0.13)

67.1% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 49.69%

Dundee 26.38%

Draw 23.93%

Motherwell	Draw	Dundee
2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.69%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.38%