Scottish Cup
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstjlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcellog.png)
-
Stephen Duke-McKenna
58'
-
Callum McGregor
34'
-
Daizen Maeda
37'
-
Adam Idah
45'
-
Daizen Maeda
45'+1'
-
Jota
67'
-
Luke McCowan
79'
St Johnstone vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fsimo-valakari.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-3 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result
St Johnstone
11.62%
▼
(-0.61)
Draw
16.52%
▼
(-0.14)
Celtic
71.86%
▲
(+0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
54.06%
▼
(-1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.26%
▼
(-1.04)
Under 2.5
34.73%
▲
(+1.05)
Over 3.5
43.31%
▼
(-1.18)
Under 3.5
56.69%
▲
(+1.18)
Over 4.5
24.85%
▼
(-1.00)
Under 4.5
75.14%
▲
(+1.00)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5
59.06%
▼
(-1.69)
Under 0.5
40.94%
▲
(+1.70)
Over 1.5
22.5%
▼
(-1.55)
Under 1.5
77.5%
▲
(+1.56)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
91.52%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
8.48%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
70.6%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
29.4%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
St Johnstone
11.62%
Draw
16.52%
Celtic
71.85%
St Johnstone
2-1
@
3.42%
▼
(-0.16)
1-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 11.62%
1-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 11.62%
Draw
1-1
@
7.65%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.52%
2-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.52%
Celtic
0-2
@
10.56%
▲
(+0.47)
1-2 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.34)
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.19)
0-5 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.13)
0-6 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.85%
1-2 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.34)
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.19)
0-5 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.13)
0-6 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.85%
Head to Head
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
32
-
Daniels Balodis
4'
-
Drey Wright
41'
-
Jason Holt
44'
-
Sam Curtis
59'
-
Zach Mitchell
74'
-
Greg Taylor
65'
-
Hyun-Jun Yang
86'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
20
-
Nicolas Kuhn
30'
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
59'
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
64'
-
Daizen Maeda
73'
-
Aaron Essel
26'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
6
-
Matthew Smith
30'
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
35'
-
Daizen Maeda
39'
-
Paulo Bernardo
43'
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
45'
-
Callum McGregor
54'
-
Daizen Maeda
72'
-
Adam Idah
83'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
30
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
40'
-
Nicolas Kuhn
46'
-
James Forrest
68'
-
Adama Sidibeh
45'
-
Connor Smith
81'
-
Ryan McGowan
90'+1'
-
Daniel Phillips
90'+5'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
15
-
Ryan McGowan
13'
-
Diallang Jaiyesimi
40'
-
Dimitar Mitov
79'
-
Callum McGregor
67'
-
Matt O'Riley
79'
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
79'
-
James Forrest
90'+3'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
3
-
Matt O'Riley
51'
-
Sam McClelland
44'
-
James Brown
88'
-
Cameron MacPherson
90'+4'