Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 42.48% ( | 25.06% ( | 32.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% ( | 46.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( | 68.99% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( | 21.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( | 55.27% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( | 27.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( | 62.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.46% |