Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.