Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 36.5% ( | 25.65% ( | 37.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% ( | 48.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( | 70.74% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( | 25.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( | 60.9% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( | 59.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-0 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.85% |