Scottish League One | Gameweek 26

Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
2 - 0
Arbroath

Alston (77'), Taylor (90+7')
Bilham (7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stewart (4'), Spalding (65')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 QotS
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 0-3 Arbroath
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Arbroath
41.74% ( -0.19)	25.62% ( 0.07)	32.64% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.8% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

-0.28)

49.14% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

-0.26)

71.2% (

0.25)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.22)

23.37% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.32)

57.34% (

0.31)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

-0.06)

28.49% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0.08)

64.27% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 41.74%

Arbroath 32.64%

Draw 25.62%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.64%