Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 42.36% ( | 25.5% | 32.14% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% | 48.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% | 70.87% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( | 22.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% | 56.66% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% | 28.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% | 64.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.14% |