Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 45.69% ( | 26.83% ( | 27.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% ( | 56.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% ( | 77.19% ( |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( | 24.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( | 58.97% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.17% ( | 35.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( | 72.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.48% |