Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Queen of the South
Scottish League One | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
Dumbarton

QotS
3 - 1
Dumbarton

Brooks (3', 54'), Dickenson (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Durnan (28')
Pignatiello (64'), Durnan (71')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Queen of the South and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen of the South

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 3-2 Inverness
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-5 Airdrieonians
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawDumbarton
39.9% (-0.181 -0.18)25.42% (0.032 0.03)34.68% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.115 -0.12)47.78% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.107 -0.11)69.97% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)23.7% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.206 -0.21)57.82% (0.20500000000001 0.21)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.044000000000004 0.04)61.79% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 39.9%
    Dumbarton 34.68%
    Draw 25.41%
Queen of the SouthDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.68%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dumbarton
2-1
QotS
Ruth (73'), Wallace (90+5' pen.)
Gray (71'), Clark (81'), Orsi (82')
Doherty (83')
McKechnie (15'), Doherty (56'), Douglas (64'), Walker (70'), Hewitt (90+4')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
QotS
2-0
Dumbarton
O'Donnell (15'), Hewitt (50')
MacIntyre (69')

Wallace (77'), Hilton (82'), Clark (90+3')
Durnan (71')
Jul 16, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
QotS
2-0
Dumbarton
McIntosh (7'), McKechnie (58')
Lussint (14'), McKechnie (74'), Dickenson (84')

Durnan (39'), Clark (42'), Wallace (52')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Dumbarton
1-4
QotS
Crossan (8')
Carswell (30'), McCluskey (90')
Paton (10'), Oliver (13'), Dobbie (17'), Murray (22')
Pybus (34'), Brownlie (60')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Dumbarton
0-1
QotS

Froxilias (78')
Thomas (48')
Jacobs (12'), Fordyce (57'), Brownlie (66'), Dobbie (67'), Dykes (74')
rhs 2.0


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