Scottish League One | Gameweek 20

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
2 - 0
Dumbarton

Bavidge (15'), Gilmour (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shiels (60'), McGuffie (88')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 1-4 Cove Rangers
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, December 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dumbarton
52.62% ( -0.35)	24.54% ( 0.04)	22.84% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2% (

0.17)

50.79% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31% (

0.15)

72.68% (

-0.15)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73% (

-0.07)

19.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49% (

-0.12)

50.99% (

0.12)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.03% (

0.39)

36.96% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.25% (

0.39)

73.75% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.61%

Dumbarton 22.84%

Draw 24.54%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.61%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.84%