Dumbarton
1 - 5
Airdrieonians

McGuffie (90')
Clark (61'), Shiels (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McGrattan (3'), Gallagher (10'), Mochrie (73'), Wilson (75'), Watson (86')
McMaster (23'), Cooper (89')

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Dumbarton and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 2-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Airdrieonians
37.05%	24.08%	38.87%

Both teams to score 61.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.75%

41.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.35%

63.65%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75%

22.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32%

55.68%

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66%

21.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.71%

54.29%

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 37.05%

Airdrieonians 38.87%

Draw 24.07%

Dumbarton	Draw	Airdrieonians
2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.05%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.87%