Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 25.76% ( | 24.9% ( | 49.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( | 49.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( | 71.72% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( | 70.46% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( | 20.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% ( | 52.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.76% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.33% |