Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 42.66% ( | 24.57% ( | 32.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( | 44.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( | 66.81% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( | 20.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( | 26.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( | 61.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.76% |