Alloa Athletic
Cove Rangers
East Fife
Hamilton logo
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Peterhead
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
Scottish League One | Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Inverness CT

Arbroath
3 - 0
Inverness

Steele (25'), Winter (42' pen.), Dow (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Savage (44'), Gilmour (46')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 QotS
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
34.4% (0.146 0.15)26.5% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)39.09% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.35% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (0.429 0.43)52.47% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.366 0.37)74.14% (-0.366 -0.37)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.304 0.3)29.01% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.372 0.37)64.91% (-0.371 -0.37)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.17400000000001 0.17)26.25% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.23099999999999 0.23)61.36% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 34.4%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 39.09%
    Draw 26.5%
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.4%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.09%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Inverness
0-2
Arbroath

Thompson (18'), Longstaff (90+1')
Thompson (36')
Smith (52'), Reilly (90+4')
Murray (13')
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Arbroath
1-0
Inverness
Reilly (67')
Watson (55'), (90+3')
Watson (90+3')

Reilly (53')
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
Group Stage
Inverness
0-0
Arbroath
(Aggregate 0-0 | Arbroath win 4-3 on penalties)
Callaghan (90+1')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Inverness
2-1
Arbroath
Duffy (45+3'), Samuel (80')
McIntosh (61')
Little (31'), Walker (56'), Stowe (85')
Little (76')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Arbroath
1-1
Inverness
Mackinnon (82')
Slater (37'), Little (77'), McKenna (80')
Harper (90+4')
Samuel (49'), Kerr (76'), Devine (83')
rhs 2.0


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