Friendlies 1

Mar 25, 2025 at 5pm UK

VTB Arena (Moskva)

Russia
5 - 0
Zambia

Glushenkov (8', 53', 58'), Vakhaniya (44'), Batrakov (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Russia and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Russia 5-0 Grenada
Wednesday, March 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Zambia

All competitions

Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 85.66%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 4-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.67%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
Russia	Draw	Zambia
85.66% ( 0.01)	9.87% ( -0)	4.46% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 43.58% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.39% (

-0.04)

28.61% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.5% (

-0.05)

49.5% (

0.05)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.43% (

-0.01)

4.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.33% (

-0.02)

18.67% (

0.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.67% (

-0.07)

54.33% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.52% (

-0.04)

87.47% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Russia 85.64%

Zambia 4.46%

Draw 9.87%

Russia	Draw	Zambia
3-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 85.64%	1-1 @ 4.67% 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 9.87%	0-1 @ 1.51% 1-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 4.46%