Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 93.69%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 1.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 4-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 5-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.07%), while for a Burnei win it was 1-2 (0.6%). The actual scoreline of 11-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.