Vanuatu national football team
Friendlies 3
Mar 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Vanuatu
2 - 3
Brunei

Kalo (37'), Moses (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shariff (53'), Othman (72'), Yazid Said (90+2')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Vanuatu and Burnei.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vanuatu

Last Game: Guinea 6-0 Vanuatu
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Burnei

Last Game: Bermuda 2-0 Brunei
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vanuatu win with a probability of 77.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vanuatu win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Burnei win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
VanuatuDrawBurnei
77.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.77% (0.004999999999999 0)8.52% (0.0020999999999987 0)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)30.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)52.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)6.38% (0.0090999999999992 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.06% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.94% (0.026 0.03)
Burnei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vanuatu 77.7%
    Burnei 8.52%
    Draw 13.77%
VanuatuDrawBurnei
2-0 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 8.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.71%
4-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
6-0 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 77.7%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 13.77%
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
0-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 8.52%