Friendlies 3
Jun 8, 2024 at 1.15pm UK
Stadium Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah
Sri Lanka national football team

Brunei
1 - 0
Sri Lanka

Ali Rahman (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Burnei and Sri Lanka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnei

Last Game: Vanuatu 2-3 Brunei
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Sri Lanka 2-0 Bhutan
Monday, March 25 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Burnei had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Burnei win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
BurneiDrawSri Lanka
27.7% (0.337 0.34)22.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)50.06% (-0.357 -0.36)
Both teams to score 63.79% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.93% (0.198 0.2)36.07% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.82% (0.218 0.22)58.17% (-0.225 -0.23)
Burnei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.331 0.33)25.18% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.45500000000001 0.46)59.91% (-0.462 -0.46)
Sri Lanka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)14.74% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)42.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Burnei 27.7%
    Sri Lanka 50.06%
    Draw 22.23%
BurneiDrawSri Lanka
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.7%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.99% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.13% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.06%