Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 83.54%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Syria had a probability of 5.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.78%) and 4-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Syria win it was 0-1 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.