Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 91.01%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 2.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 4-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 5-0 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.55%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-2 (0.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.