Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Grenada win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Saint Lucia in this match.