CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Sep 6, 2024 at 10pm UK

Kirani James National Stadium

St Lucia
2 - 1
Curacao

Jude-Boyd (24'), Elva (55')
Doxilly (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brenet (63')
Gaari (29'), Bacuna (90+4')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Curacao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

All competitions

Last Game: St Lucia 2-2 Aruba
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Curacao

All competitions

Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.

Result
Saint Lucia	Draw	Curacao
40.22% ( 0.09)	25.92% ( -0.01)	33.86% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.86% (

0.03)

50.14% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9% (

0.03)

72.1% (

-0.02)

Saint Lucia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

0.06)

24.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.92% (

0.09)

59.08% (

-0.08)

Curacao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

-0.03)

28.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09% (

-0.04)

63.91% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Saint Lucia 40.22%

Curacao 33.86%

Draw 25.92%

Saint Lucia	Draw	Curacao
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.22%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.86%